Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000299 0.000334 0.000372 0.000417 0.000468 0.000523 0.000589
2025-01-19 0.000221 0.000269 0.000325 0.000397 0.000487 0.000595 0.000738
2025-01-26 0.000186 0.000240 0.000308 0.000401 0.000527 0.000692 0.000926
2025-02-02 0.000167 0.000226 0.000305 0.000420 0.000584 0.000814 0.001165
2025-02-09 0.000146 0.000205 0.000289 0.000415 0.000606 0.000887 0.001344
2025-02-16 0.000131 0.000192 0.000280 0.000419 0.000638 0.000979 0.001562
2025-02-23 0.000118 0.000178 0.000267 0.000415 0.000657 0.001051 0.001759
2025-03-02 0.000108 0.000168 0.000260 0.000418 0.000687 0.001142 0.002001
2025-03-09 0.000100 0.000158 0.000252 0.000417 0.000709 0.001223 0.002237
2025-03-16 0.000088 0.000144 0.000234 0.000398 0.000697 0.001241 0.002357
2025-03-23 0.000083 0.000137 0.000229 0.000400 0.000723 0.001331 0.002632
2025-03-30 0.000080 0.000136 0.000232 0.000417 0.000778 0.001485 0.003063
2025-04-06 0.000073 0.000127 0.000222 0.000409 0.000785 0.001546 0.003316
2025-04-13 0.000065 0.000115 0.000206 0.000389 0.000767 0.001557 0.003462
2025-04-20 0.000062 0.000111 0.000203 0.000393 0.000799 0.001678 0.003889
2025-04-27 0.000060 0.000111 0.000207 0.000411 0.000863 0.001880 0.004555
2025-05-04 0.000056 0.000105 0.000199 0.000406 0.000876 0.001966 0.004947
2025-05-11 0.000053 0.000101 0.000197 0.000410 0.000908 0.002103 0.005502
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000096 0.000191 0.000406 0.000922 0.002198 0.005964
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000093 0.000188 0.000409 0.000953 0.002340 0.006593
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000090 0.000184 0.000408 0.000974 0.002460 0.007186
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000083 0.000172 0.000389 0.000947 0.002448 0.007364
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000080 0.000170 0.000391 0.000976 0.002593 0.008085